PredictEdge

Active (100)History (147)PerformanceModel Info

All TypesMispricingWhale AlertVolume SpikeNews Driven

Signals

100

Avg confidence

43%

Strongest edge

9970 bps

buy_nolowlive

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9d30befa-f6b0-4754-8744-3a127bdeb31a

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9770 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9770 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4346c4a6-b6d3-4987-aacd-63bc84fe9854

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

337d77ca-138a-4848-9174-93754a34ba90

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9890 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9890 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

334ac9a4-db7f-4359-afe3-5502e8dd8f0f

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9810 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9810 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

337d77ca-138a-4848-9174-93754a34ba90

Fair value model estimates 1% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

47a11a63-ce8b-4034-bfd7-ff6150d81693

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9790 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9790 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4839691a-a076-4004-8f44-9c19807e0993

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9930 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9930 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9d30befa-f6b0-4754-8744-3a127bdeb31a

Fair value model estimates 99% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

99c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4839691a-a076-4004-8f44-9c19807e0993

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

56cd20b2-280e-4661-a05c-059f77228ffa

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

f879c823-2d41-4703-890d-a251b6aabe5f

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 9950 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9950 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

f879c823-2d41-4703-890d-a251b6aabe5f

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21b2ae95-192a-40d0-a791-408576c1e238

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

183431d8-d651-4f63-991a-09b349cc3772

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

849f3d5c-6700-4c87-9ab1-9df777b306b9

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

66b32d37-7c77-4b8a-8c3b-58f190f2722a

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd96708e-feac-4abd-bf73-3ecbf7e15d52

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 2%. Edge: 9610 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9610 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9fe7a291-e61d-4e3a-a1f4-03d3a99eb21d

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 23%. Edge: 5410 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5410 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

23c

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

56cd20b2-280e-4661-a05c-059f77228ffa

Fair value model estimates 1% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

849f3d5c-6700-4c87-9ab1-9df777b306b9

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3f0a120b-a6b5-4c08-bb6d-b5e3a5cd0442

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 6%. Edge: 8850 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8850 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3f0a120b-a6b5-4c08-bb6d-b5e3a5cd0442

Fair value model estimates 6% probability vs market 6%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

66b32d37-7c77-4b8a-8c3b-58f190f2722a

Fair value model estimates 99% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

99c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

df5d5ab8-b881-41ac-b997-c145f96c5d6c

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 2%. Edge: 9510 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9510 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd782260-9f46-4f22-9d76-4c93f64d775f

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 95%. Edge: 8970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

95c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4664ec4c-1435-4e8a-b822-21afff80b5f4

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 3%. Edge: 9470 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9470 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

b6a6d139-80e6-41dc-a357-c6c6264bd88b

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9950 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9950 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2b1c71d7-aed5-4c3e-8f3a-4767239d554d

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 96%. Edge: 9210 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9210 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

96c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

18a5af05-974e-4d55-9d73-6c1a384f9be9

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

89641d01-eca1-4c5c-96e8-940127d376fe

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 21%. Edge: 5870 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5870 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

21c

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd782260-9f46-4f22-9d76-4c93f64d775f

Fair value model estimates 5% probability vs market 5%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4346c4a6-b6d3-4987-aacd-63bc84fe9854

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

bfaf92e7-ca31-4613-962c-75eb513adf5b

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

65%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4346c4a6-b6d3-4987-aacd-63bc84fe9854

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

334ac9a4-db7f-4359-afe3-5502e8dd8f0f

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9810 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9810 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

337d77ca-138a-4848-9174-93754a34ba90

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9890 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9890 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

47a11a63-ce8b-4034-bfd7-ff6150d81693

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9790 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9790 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

334ac9a4-db7f-4359-afe3-5502e8dd8f0f

Fair value model estimates 99% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

99c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9d30befa-f6b0-4754-8744-3a127bdeb31a

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9770 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9770 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4839691a-a076-4004-8f44-9c19807e0993

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9930 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9930 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

f879c823-2d41-4703-890d-a251b6aabe5f

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 9950 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9950 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21b2ae95-192a-40d0-a791-408576c1e238

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

337d77ca-138a-4848-9174-93754a34ba90

Fair value model estimates 1% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

183431d8-d651-4f63-991a-09b349cc3772

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd96708e-feac-4abd-bf73-3ecbf7e15d52

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 2%. Edge: 9610 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9610 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9fe7a291-e61d-4e3a-a1f4-03d3a99eb21d

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 23%. Edge: 5410 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5410 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

23c

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

183431d8-d651-4f63-991a-09b349cc3772

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9d30befa-f6b0-4754-8744-3a127bdeb31a

Fair value model estimates 99% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

99c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9fe7a291-e61d-4e3a-a1f4-03d3a99eb21d

Fair value model estimates 23% probability vs market 23%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

23c

Fair Value

23c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

56cd20b2-280e-4661-a05c-059f77228ffa

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

849f3d5c-6700-4c87-9ab1-9df777b306b9

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

b6a6d139-80e6-41dc-a357-c6c6264bd88b

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9950 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9950 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3f0a120b-a6b5-4c08-bb6d-b5e3a5cd0442

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 6%. Edge: 8850 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8850 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

66b32d37-7c77-4b8a-8c3b-58f190f2722a

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

18a5af05-974e-4d55-9d73-6c1a384f9be9

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

b6a6d139-80e6-41dc-a357-c6c6264bd88b

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4664ec4c-1435-4e8a-b822-21afff80b5f4

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 3%. Edge: 9470 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9470 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

66b32d37-7c77-4b8a-8c3b-58f190f2722a

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2b1c71d7-aed5-4c3e-8f3a-4767239d554d

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 96%. Edge: 9210 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9210 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

96c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

df5d5ab8-b881-41ac-b997-c145f96c5d6c

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 2%. Edge: 9510 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9510 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

89641d01-eca1-4c5c-96e8-940127d376fe

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 21%. Edge: 5870 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5870 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

21c

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4664ec4c-1435-4e8a-b822-21afff80b5f4

Fair value model estimates 97% probability vs market 97%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

97c

Fair Value

97c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

66b32d37-7c77-4b8a-8c3b-58f190f2722a

Fair value model estimates 99% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

99c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd782260-9f46-4f22-9d76-4c93f64d775f

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 95%. Edge: 8970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

95c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2b1c71d7-aed5-4c3e-8f3a-4767239d554d

Fair value model estimates 4% probability vs market 4%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

849f3d5c-6700-4c87-9ab1-9df777b306b9

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

df5d5ab8-b881-41ac-b997-c145f96c5d6c

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 98%. Edge: 9510 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9510 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

98c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd782260-9f46-4f22-9d76-4c93f64d775f

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 5%. Edge: 8970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

bfaf92e7-ca31-4613-962c-75eb513adf5b

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

65%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4346c4a6-b6d3-4987-aacd-63bc84fe9854

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

56cd20b2-280e-4661-a05c-059f77228ffa

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

47a11a63-ce8b-4034-bfd7-ff6150d81693

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9790 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9790 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

18a5af05-974e-4d55-9d73-6c1a384f9be9

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

334ac9a4-db7f-4359-afe3-5502e8dd8f0f

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9810 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9810 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4839691a-a076-4004-8f44-9c19807e0993

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9930 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9930 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4839691a-a076-4004-8f44-9c19807e0993

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

f879c823-2d41-4703-890d-a251b6aabe5f

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 9950 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9950 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3f0a120b-a6b5-4c08-bb6d-b5e3a5cd0442

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 94%. Edge: 8850 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8850 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

94c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21b2ae95-192a-40d0-a791-408576c1e238

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

21b2ae95-192a-40d0-a791-408576c1e238

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

334ac9a4-db7f-4359-afe3-5502e8dd8f0f

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9810 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9810 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd96708e-feac-4abd-bf73-3ecbf7e15d52

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 2%. Edge: 9610 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9610 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

337d77ca-138a-4848-9174-93754a34ba90

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9890 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9890 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9d30befa-f6b0-4754-8744-3a127bdeb31a

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9770 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9770 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9fe7a291-e61d-4e3a-a1f4-03d3a99eb21d

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 23%. Edge: 5410 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5410 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

23c

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

183431d8-d651-4f63-991a-09b349cc3772

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4346c4a6-b6d3-4987-aacd-63bc84fe9854

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 100%. Edge: 9970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

100c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

b6a6d139-80e6-41dc-a357-c6c6264bd88b

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 0%. Edge: 9950 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9950 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9d30befa-f6b0-4754-8744-3a127bdeb31a

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9770 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9770 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

56cd20b2-280e-4661-a05c-059f77228ffa

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 99%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

99c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

3f0a120b-a6b5-4c08-bb6d-b5e3a5cd0442

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 6%. Edge: 8850 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8850 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

89641d01-eca1-4c5c-96e8-940127d376fe

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 79%. Edge: 5870 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5870 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

79c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9fe7a291-e61d-4e3a-a1f4-03d3a99eb21d

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 77%. Edge: 5410 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5410 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

77c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

66b32d37-7c77-4b8a-8c3b-58f190f2722a

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 9730 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9730 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

df5d5ab8-b881-41ac-b997-c145f96c5d6c

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 2%. Edge: 9510 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9510 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

4664ec4c-1435-4e8a-b822-21afff80b5f4

Fair value model estimates 17% probability vs market 50%. Edge: 4735 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 4735 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

50c

Fair Value

17c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

89641d01-eca1-4c5c-96e8-940127d376fe

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 21%. Edge: 5870 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 5870 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

21c

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_yeslowlive

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

cd782260-9f46-4f22-9d76-4c93f64d775f

Fair value model estimates 100% probability vs market 95%. Edge: 8970 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 8970 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

95c

Fair Value

100c

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

watchlowlive

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

9d30befa-f6b0-4754-8744-3a127bdeb31a

Fair value model estimates 1% probability vs market 1%. Edge: 0 bps.

Market Watch signal with estimated edge of 0 bps.

Confidence

35%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40

buy_nolowlive

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

2b1c71d7-aed5-4c3e-8f3a-4767239d554d

Fair value model estimates 0% probability vs market 4%. Edge: 9210 bps.

Momentum Edge signal with estimated edge of 9210 bps.

Confidence

45%

Model v2.1

Market Price

Fair Value

Kelly Size

$340 (3.4%)

Expected Value

+$37.40